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ARS Home » Crop Production and Protection » Research » Research Project #441950

Research Project: Forecasting Models for Wheat Fusarium Head Blight

Location: Crop Production and Protection

Project Number: 0500-00053-005-082-G
Project Type: Grant

Start Date: May 1, 2022
End Date: Apr 30, 2026

1. Expand the datasets used for modeling Fusarium Head Blight (FHB) with new observations. 2. Improve predictive performance of model ensembles. 3. Deployment of the disease forecasts in 33 states. 4. Develop new tools for delivering disease forecasts. 5. Develop climate-based risk assessment for FHB in the U.S.

Approaches will include 1) Gather new observations from IM-CP collaborators, 2) Use machine learning and mechanistic approaches to develop new models, 3) Use weather to produce the daily risk maps, 4) Provide commentary features for participating states. 5) Conduct a user survey to assess impact and 5) Combine disease models with climate records.