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Title: NCA4: Agriculture and rural communities chapter

item OLSON, CAROLYN - Office Of The Chief Economist
item Gowda, Prasanna
item Steiner, Jean
item Grusak, Michael
item FARRIGAN, TRACEY - Economic Research Serivce (ERS, USDA)
item Boggess, Mark

Submitted to: American Geophysical Union
Publication Type: Abstract Only
Publication Acceptance Date: 8/20/2018
Publication Date: 12/10/2018
Citation: Olson, C., Gowda, P.H., Steiner, J.L., Grusak, M.A., Farrigan, T., Boggess, M.V. 2018. NCA4: Agriculture and rural communities chapter [abstract]. American Geophysical Union. Available at:

Interpretive Summary: Abstract only

Technical Abstract: As per the Presidential Initiative in 1989 and 1990 Global Change Research Act, the U.S. Climate Change Research Program (USGCRP) is required to conduct a national climate change assessment report every four years. The report is mandated to include findings of climate change impacts on major sectors in the U.S. over multi-decadal to centennial timescales, while also highlighting the uncertainties associated with such findings. This paper presents the scope and processes adopted to develop “Chapter 10: Agriculture and Rural Communities” for the 4th National Climate Assessment and discusses its key findings and associated uncertainties. The chapter was developed through active engagement with regional and sectoral stakeholders, collaboration with author teams from other NCA4 chapters, and an extensive assessment of peer-reviewed literature on climate impacts on agriculture and rural communities with emphasis given to literature published after since 2012. Climate change has the potential to adversely impact agricultural productivity at local, regional, and continental scales. This poster will present these impacts as described in the chapter’s four Key Messages.