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ARS Home » Southeast Area » Gainesville, Florida » Center for Medical, Agricultural and Veterinary Entomology » Mosquito and Fly Research » Research » Publications at this Location » Publication #221353

Title: Forecasting RVF Outbreaks-FineTuning a Model

Author
item Linthicum, Kenneth - Ken
item ANYAMBA, ASSAF
item SMALL, JENNIFER
item TUCKER, COMPTON
item CHRETIEN, JEAN-PAUL
item BREIMAN, ROB
item HIGHTOWER, ALLEN
item NJENGA, M. KARIUKI
item SANG, ROSEMARY
item FORMENTY, PIERRE
item RICHARDSON, JASON
item Gibson, Seth

Submitted to: Meeting Abstract
Publication Type: Abstract Only
Publication Acceptance Date: 10/31/2007
Publication Date: 11/1/2007
Citation: Linthicum, K., Anyamba, A., Small, J., Tucker, C.J., Chretien, J., Breiman, R., Hightower, A., Njenga, M., Sang, R., Formenty, P., Richardson, J., Britch, S.C. 2007. Forecasting RVF Outbreaks-FineTuning a Model. Proc. of the ASTMH 56th Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, November 4-8, 2007, pg. 193.

Interpretive Summary:

Technical Abstract: An outbreak of Rift Valley Fever, causing severe illness in more than 600 people, resulting in more than 150 deaths, occurred in several locations in Kenya from November 2006 until early March 2007. The symposium (I and II) will review the epidemic and present findings from the multi-faceted investigation, which included epidemiologic and clincial investigations, economic impact, entomologic surveys, virologic/geetic studies, veterinary surveillance, and will include geographic modeling incorporating data from the above studies in combination with satellite imagery providing moisture and soil information. The focus ultimately will be on what information was collected, which will enable public health officials to forecast future outbreaks in order to implement effective public health prevention measures before an outbreak occurs (including the potential for livestock immunization, targeted larvacidal campaigns and behavior modification/risk reduction).