Subtropical Plant Pathology Research Site Logo
ARS Home About Us Helptop nav spacerContact Us En Espanoltop nav spacer
Printable VersionPrintable Version E-mail this pageE-mail this page
Agricultural Research Service United States Department of Agriculture
Search
  Advanced Search
 
Programs and Projects
Subjects of Investigation
 

Research Project: EARLY DETECTION STOCHASTIC MODELING AND THE DESIGN OF SURVEY METHODOLOGIES AND RESOURCE ESTIMATORS FOR HIGH-RISK PATHOGENS

Location: Subtropical Plant Pathology Research

Project Number: 6618-22000-039-16
Project Type: Nonfunded Cooperative Agreement

Start Date: Aug 01, 2011
End Date: Jul 31, 2013

Objective:
1. Develop a survey methodology that will maximize the probability to detect high-risk pathogens of agricultural significance at an early phase. 2. Developed a tool to calculate resources required and optimize the use of sampling resources. 3. Deliver user friendly Excel-spreadsheet based module that can be used by regulatory agencies.

Approach:
Data sets to parameterize the travel risk model will be collected at ports of entry from international travelers and compiled for model use. An existing preliminary model will be enhanced by the use of zip codes and by extensive consideration of epidemiological characteristics used to parameterize risk. Using dynamically-linked spreadsheets a resources estimator will be developed that calculates necessary personnel (surveyors, supervisors, support staff, etc), plus fiscal and infrastructure costs (vehicles, equipment, and miscellaneous requirements) needed to accomplish the surveys and goals.

   

 
Project Team
Gottwald, Timothy
 
Project Annual Reports
  FY 2012
 
Related National Programs
  Plant Diseases (303)
 
 
Last Modified: 05/22/2013
ARS Home | USDA.gov | Site Map | Policies and Links 
FOIA | Accessibility Statement | Privacy Policy | Nondiscrimination Statement | Information Quality | USA.gov | White House