PREDICTIVE MODELING & MITIGATION OF EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON MIGRATION & INFESTATION PATTERNS OF SEMITROPICAL/TROPICAL CROP PEST INSECTS
Insect Behavior and Biocontrol Research Unit
Project Number: 6615-22000-025-06
Start Date: Apr 01, 2011
End Date: Mar 31, 2014
1. Establish a network of pest monitoring and collection sites in the southeastern U.S.
2. Map seasonal migration of S. frugiperda from the FL and TX overwintering areas into the central and eastern U.S.
3. Adapt and test models correlating migration and weather patterns to identify areas susceptible to increased infestation due to climate change.
4. Identify plant cultivars and develop control strategies to preempt or mitigate the anticipated expansion of S. frugiperda infestation into these susceptible areas.
1. Pheromone trapping and larval collections by a network of volunteer and cooperative agents. Monitoring information will be made available on the internet via PestWatch (Penn State).
2. Mapping of migration pathways by a novel haplotype analysis technique.
3. Modeling derived using General Circulation Model output and HYSPLIT atmospheric dispersion model predictions.
4. Mitigation efforts will focus on the adaptation of feeding attractant-based techniques currently being tested on the Noctuid pest Helicoverpa zea for use on S. frugiperda.