Horticultural Crops Research Site Logo
ARS Home About Us Helptop nav spacerContact Us En Espanoltop nav spacer
Printable VersionPrintable Version E-mail this pageE-mail this page
Agricultural Research Service United States Department of Agriculture
Search
  Advanced Search
 
Programs and Projects
Subjects of Investigation
Small Fruit Breeding
Foliar Pathology
Food Chemistry
Grape Research
 

Research Project: Automated Mesoscale Pest Risk Forecast Maps for Agricultural Production and Potential Plant Biosecurity threats

Location: Horticultural Crops Research

2011 Annual Report


1a.Objectives (from AD-416)
Incorporate real-time weather data into disease forecasting models for diseases of grapevines, forage grass, and hops.


1b.Approach (from AD-416)
In conjunction with cooperation growers, virtual weather data and weather maps received will be evaluated for running disease forecasting models in the Willamette Valley. Actual weather data will be collected from automated weather stations installed at three field sites for each crop. Weather data to be used include temperature, daily rainfall, and leaf wetness. Virtual and actual weather data will be collected and compared. Documents reimbursable with OSU (AFRI). Log 39772.


3.Progress Report

The purpose of this project is to develop, implement and support new methods of modeling and visualizing plant pest and pathogen threats. Technologies being developed include new terrain-sensitive ways to estimate point-based and gridded hourly weather data needed as inputs for disease risk models, improved weather forecasts that provide greater skill in disease prediction, and new ways to visualize disease risk using real-time risk maps and animations. A stepwise, end-user-feedback driven, systems approach to developing these tools is being use to quickly learn from any missteps and allow integration of multiple sources of technology. To date, we have found that information technologies are progressing for the three types of weather data streaming into the spatial modeling system: near real-time (PRISM Group), real-time (IPPC), and forecast (Fox Weather, LLC).


   

 
Project Team
Mahaffee, Walter - Walt
 
Project Annual Reports
  FY 2012
  FY 2011
  FY 2010
 
Related National Programs
  Plant Diseases (303)
 
 
Last Modified: 05/23/2013
ARS Home | USDA.gov | Site Map | Policies and Links 
FOIA | Accessibility Statement | Privacy Policy | Nondiscrimination Statement | Information Quality | USA.gov | White House