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From Florida--Origin of Winter's Food Supply

More than half of the fresh fruits and vegetables eaten by Americans during winter months are grown in Florida. To produce this bounty, Florida growers plant more than 850,000 acres of citrus and over 10 million acres of other crops and pasture.

"With the loss of methyl bromide, Florida fruit and vegetable growers stand to lose more than $600 million annually for the winter growing season alone," reports John Van Sickle, an agricultural economist with the University of Florida's Food and Resource Economics Department at Gainesville. "For fresh citrus, the loss would be over $13 million."

Including lost sales from inputs and services that would have been required to grow and market these crops, the total sales loss in Florida would exceed $1 billion and cost the economy more than 13,000 jobs. Van Sickle says this estimate is based on using methyl bromide alternatives that are currently available.

A report by Van Sickle was recently released as "Long Term Economic Assessment of the Loss of Methyl Bromide on Florida," based on a study financed by USDA's National Agricultural Pesticide Impact Assessment Program.

The report covers methyl bromide as a soil fumigant for tomatoes, strawberries, cucumbers, watermelon, bell peppers, eggplant, and squash, and as a postharvest treatment for fresh citrus. It did not consider or place a monetary value on the loss of methyl bromide as an emergency postharvest treatment to move commodities from a quarantined area in the event of an invasion of fruit flies or other serious pests. Currently, methyl bromide is the only effective treatment for such an invasion.

"We looked at both chemical and nonchemical alternatives to methyl bromide," said Van Sickle. "Our focus was primarily on technology and products that would be a suitable substitute with the least economic impact on growers."

In conducting the study, Van Sickle worked with growers, horticulturists, entomologists, and nematologists to determine the impact that loss of methyl bromide would have on Florida's crop production.

"Even though we focused on estimating the impact on Florida, our model does include production and measures of impact on other national and international growers who sell product in the U.S. during the winter market," he said.

His report predicts that tomato production in Florida will decrease more than 60 percent and planted acreage will drop by more than 43 percent if methyl bromide is banned before more suitable alternatives are found.

It is not known if methyl bromide will be banned by the Montreal Protocol. But if it is banned, developing countries may be allowed to use methyl bromide to produce and market crops for 10 years after the United States' 2001 cutoff date.

Van Sickle estimates that with the loss of methyl bromide in the United States, Mexican production of tomatoes will increase 80 percent; bell peppers, 54 percent; cucumbers, 7 percent; and eggplant, 143 percent.

"We'll lose our competitive edge to Mexico, a developing country, unless we come up with better substitutes for methyl bromide," he said.


[October 1995 Table of Contents] [Newsletter Issues Listing] [Methyl Bromide Home Page]
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Last Updated: October 25, 1996
     
Last Modified: 01/30/2002
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